Tuesday, February 10, 2009

Public severe Weather Outlook

HeadlinePublic severe Weather Outlook
Descriptionsevere Thunderstorms Expected over Parts of the Southern Plains
Into the Mid and Lower Mississippi Valley this Afternoon And
tonight
Arz000 - Laz000 - Okz000 - Txz000 - 110115 -



The NWS storm Prediction Center in Norman Ok is Forecasting The
Development of tornadoes, Large Hail and damaging winds over Parts
of the Southern Plains Into the Mid and Lower Mississippi Valley
this Afternoon and tonight.

The Areas Most Likely to Experience this Activity Include

Western 2/3 of Arkansas
Northwest Louisiana
Much of the Eastern Half of Oklahoma
Northeast Texas

Elsewhere, severe Storms are Also Possible from the Middle Texas
Coast Eastward to the Mouth of the Mississippi River, and As Far
North As Kansas, Missouri, and Illinois.

A Strong Middle - and Upper - Level storm System Continues Moving
Across the Four Corners Region, and will Emerge Into the Central
and Southern Plains Later this Afternoon. Ahead of this System, A
Moist Low - Level Airmass Continues Streaming Northward Across Texas
and Louisiana Into Eastern Oklahoma and the Ozarks Region. Daytime
Heating of the Moistening Boundary Layer will Increase Through The
Afternoon Across Oklahoma and Texas As Initial Cloud Cover Shifts
Eastward. this Combined with Cooling Aloft in Conjunction with The
Approaching storm System Later today will Result in Airmass
Destabilization - - Supportive of thunderstorm Development by Mid to
Late Afternoon.

Initial storm Mode is Forecast to be Supercellular, As a Very
Strong Wind Field - - Veering/increasing with Height Through The
Lower Troposphere - - Results in Favorable Shear for storm Rotation.
As Storms Develop from Central Oklahoma Southward Into North Central
Texas Later this Afternoon, Expect Large Hail and Locally - Damaging
winds Along with the Potential for Isolated Strong tornadoes.

Overnight, As a Cold Front Approaches from the West, Storms Should
Become Organized in a More Linear Fashion Along the Front, and Then
Spread Rapidly Eastward toward the Mississippi Valley. Along with A
continued Threat for Hail and Isolated tornadoes, Widespread
damaging winds Should Become Increasingly Likely.

Those in the Threatened area are Urged to Review severe Weather
Safety Rules and to Listen to Radio, Television, and Noaa Weather
Radio for Possible Watches, Warnings, and Statements Later today.

.goss 02/10/2009

Expires2/10/09 7:15 PM
Message ID195925
County/AreaLafayette, LA (latitude: 30.2159, longitude: -92.0904)

severe Weather Outbreak Expected over the Arklatex Later this Afternoon and tonight

Headlinesevere Weather Outbreak Expected over the Arklatex Later this Afternoon and tonight
Descriptionsevere Weather Outbreak Expected over the Arklatex Later This
Afternoon and tonight
Arz000 - Laz000 - Okz000 - Txz000 - 101900 -



The NWS storm Prediction Center in Norman Ok is Forecasting The
Development of a Few Strong, Long - Track tornadoes and Widespread
damaging winds over Parts of the Arklatex Later this Afternoon And
tonight.

The Areas Most Likely to Experience this Activity Include

Western and Central Arkansas
Northwest Louisiana
Eastern Oklahoma
North - Central and Northeast Texas

Elsewhere, severe Storms are Also Possible from the Mid Mississippi
Valley Into Central and Southeast Texas.

A Powerful Winter storm System over the Lower Colorado Valley This
Morning will Move East Through the Southern Rockies Into The
Southern Plains by tonight. Low - Level Moisture will Continue to
Increase today over Lower Elevations of the Southern Plains Into
Lower Mississippi Valley As Southerly winds Strengthen in Advance Of
The Upper - Level storm System. this Moisture will Combine With
Daytime Heating and Cooling Temperatures Aloft to Create A
Moderately Unstable Air Mass by Afternoon Generally Along and East
of the I - 35 Corridor of Oklahoma and Texas.

Rapid thunderstorm Development is Expected by Mid to Late Afternoon
Along a Dryline from near or South of Oklahoma City Southward to The
Dallas - Fort Worth Metroplex As the Approaching Upper - Level System
Begins to Exert an Influence on the Destabilizing Air Mass. The
Combination of Strong Vertical Shear and a Moderately Unstable And
Expanding Warm Sector Suggests the Likelihood of a Few Supercells
capable of producing Strong, Potentially Long - Tracked tornadoes.
this tornado Threat Appears to be Greatest over Southeast
Oklahoma, Northeast Texas, West - Central and Southwest Arkansas
Into Northwest Louisiana Late this Afternoon Into tonight.

Additional Storms, Likely in the Form of a Squall Line, Are
Expected to Develop over Parts of Eastern Oklahoma Into Eastern
Texas tonight As a Fast - moving Pacific Front Overtakes the Dryline.
While a Few tornadoes and Some Hail will be Possible With
Storms, It Appears That damaging winds will be the Primary Severe
Weather Hazard. this damaging Wind Threat will Likely Continue
Eastward Into Parts of Arkansas and Louisiana Overnight.

this is Potentially a very Dangerous Situation. Those in The
Threatened area are Urged to Review severe Weather Safety Rules And
to Listen to Radio, Television, and Noaa Weather Radio For
Possible Watches, Warnings, and Statements Later today.

.mead 02/10/2009

Expires2/10/09 1:00 PM
Message ID195681
County/AreaLafayette, LA (latitude: 30.2159, longitude: -92.0904)