Friday, September 12, 2008

Hurricane Local Statement

HeadlineHurricane Local Statement
DescriptionTyler.


The Following Watches and Warnings are Currently in effect For
this Area:

Flash Flood Watch.
Hurricane Wind Warning.


Mandatory Evacuations in Calcasieu Parish for People in Travel
Trailers, Mobile Homes, and Low - Lying Areas. this Includes
Residents Who are Home - Bound, Requiring Electricity for Their
Well - Being. Residents in the Remainder of the Parish are Strongly
Encouraged to Leave As Well.

Mandatory Evacuations Have Been Issued for Orange County.
Voluntary Evacuations Have Been Issued for Hardin County.

Persons Should Prepare for the Possibility of Hurricane Force
winds Which May Result in Power Outages, Blown Down Trees, And
Some Roof Damage to Homes and Businesses.


Calcasieu:
storm Surge will Move Up the Calcasieu Ship Channel Into Lake
Charles this Morning and Into Friday Evening and Saturday
Morning. total storm Tide Levels of 8 to 10 Feet will be Possible.
The storm Surge will be Slow to Recede Through Saturday Evening
Due to the Prolonged Onshore Flow After Ike Moves Inland.

at Levels, Communities Along the Calcasieu River Basin Such
As Deatonville, Portions of Carlyss, Southeastern Portions of
Sulphur, and Portions of Westlake will Experience storm Surge
Flooding. Areas Within Lake Charles near the I - 10 and I - 210
Bridges, near the Civic Center, and the Lake Charles Beach will
Experience Flooding As Well. this Flooding will be Comparable to
That Experienced During Hurricane Rita. Also Flooding will be Likely
Along Any Bayous in Westlake and Lake Charles. Black Bayou to the
South of Lake Charles will Experience Flooding As Well.

Orange:
storm Surge is Forecast to Move Up Into Sabine Lake. this Is
Forecast to Cause Major Flooding Up the Sabine River to Orange And
Any Connecting Bayous, Such As Cow and Adams Bayous in Orange
County. this will Inundate Bridge City and Portions of Orange. The
storm Tide Level at Rainbow Bridge is Forecast Reach from 10 to 15
Feet Mean Lower Low Water. at Least 6 Feet is Forecast at the Old
Orange River Gage and this is Major Flooding.


Calcasieu Parish:
Tropical storm Force winds around 45 MPH with Gusts to 65 MPH
will Begin this Morning and Persist Into the Afternoon
Hours, Increasing to 70 MPH with Gusts to 85 MPH this Evening.

Western Portions of Calcasieu Parish Could Experience Hurricane
Force winds around 75 MPH with Gusts to 90 MPH by this Evening.

Orange and Hardin Counties:
Tropical storm Force winds around 45 MPH with Gusts to 65 MPH will
Begin this Morning, Increasing Through the Afternoon. Hurricane
Force winds around 75 MPH with Gusts to 95 MPH are Expected By
Midnight and Persist Through the Overnight Hours, Before
Decreasing to Tropical storm Force by Saturday Morning.

Beauregard Parish in Southwest Louisiana and Jasper
Newton, and Tyler Counties in Southeast Texas:
Tropical storm Force winds of 35 to 45 MPH with Gusts to 65 MPH
will Begin by the Early Afternoon Hours, and Continue Increasing
Through the Evening. Tropical storm Force winds around 60 MPH
with Gusts to 80 MPH are Expected today and Persist Through The
Overnight Across Northern Sections Counties and Parishes.
Hurricane Force winds around 70 to 80 MPH with Gusts to 90 MPH
are Expected by this Evening Across Southern Sections
Counties and Parishes.

Tropical storm Force winds will Persist on Saturday.


Calcasieu Parish:
The Probability of Hurricane Force winds Ranges from 35 to 45
Percent.
The Probability of Tropical storm Force winds Ranges from 80
to 90 Percent.

Orange and Hardin Counties:
The Probability of Hurricane Force winds Ranges from 35 to 45 Percent.
The Probability of Tropical storm Force winds Across Orange And
Hardin Counties Range from 80 to 90 Percent.

Beauregard Parish in Southwest Louisiana and Jasper
Newton, and Tyler Counties in Southeast Texas:
The Probability of Hurricane Force winds is around 30 to 40 Percent.
The Probability of Tropical storm Force winds is 80 to 90 Percent.


Calcasieu:
Areal Rainfall Amounts from 2 to 6 Inches with Localized Amounts to
10 Inches are Expected. Rainfall totals will Likely Produce
New River Flooding Across Southwest Louisiana. As is the Case During
Any Tropical System, Any area That Receives Heavy Rains will See
Flash Flooding.

at this Time Major Flooding is Forecast Along the Lower Calcasieu
River from the Salt Water Barrier to Old town Bay and Moderate
Flooding is Forecast on the West Fork of the Calcasieu from Houston
River to the Confluence of the Calcasieu River Due to Tidal Backup.

at this Time Along the Calcasieu River, Major Flooding Of
Residential Areas will Occur near the Salt Water Barrier. Upstream
near Old town Bay, Water will Completely Cover Goos Ferry Road
All the Way to the River Road Entrance. Flood Water Enters Lower
Levels of Some Elevated Homes on Goos Ferry Road. Flooding Is
Expected in White Oak Park. Along the West Fork of the Calcasieu
Water Levels will be Comparable to Hurricane Rita. Cypress Lake
Drive Becomes Impassible and Water is Up to a Few Homes Along The
Road. Portions of Sam Houston Park are Under Water.


Isolated tornadoes are Possible today Into Saturday.


this Statement will be Updated around 8am this Morning.

At 400am CST...0900z...the Center of Hurricane Ike was Located
near Latitude 26.7 North...longitude 91.6 West or About
280 Miles...southeast of Beaumont Texas and About 260 Miles South
Southeast of Lake Charles Louisiana.
Ike is moving toward the West-northwest near 13 MPH...20 Km/hr.
A Turn toward the Northwest is Expected Later today...with a Turn
toward the North Expected on Saturday. on the Forecast Track...
The Center of Ike will be very near the Upper Texas Coast by Late
today or Early Saturday. However...because Ike is a very Large
Tropical Cyclone...weather will Deteriorate Along the Coastline
today...long Before the Center Reaches the Coast.
Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter Aircraft
Indicate That Maximum Sustained winds Have Increased to Near
105 MPH... 165 Km/hr...with Higher Gusts. Ike is a Category Two
Hurricane on the Saffir-simpson Scale. Some Additional
Strengthening is Forecast During the Next 24 Hours...and Ike Is
Forecast to Become a Major Hurricane Before the Center Reaches
The Coast.
The Latest Minimum Central Pressure reported by the Hurricane
Hunters is 953 Mb...28.14 Inches.
Coastal storm Surge Flooding of Up to 20 Feet Above Normal Tide
Levels...along with Large and Dangerous Battering Waves...can Be
Expected near and to the East of Where the Center of Ike Makes
Landfall...extending a Greater Than Usual Distance from The
Center Due to the Large size of the Cyclone. Surge Flooding Of
Up to 25 Feet...and Possibly Higher...could Occur at the Heads Of
Bays. Coastal storm Surge Flooding of 6 to 8 Feet Above Normal
Tide Levels...along with Large and Dangerous Waves...can Be
Expected Within the Tropical storm Warning area Along The
Northern Gulf Coast. Above Normal Tides in the Eastern Gulf Of
Mexico Should Gradually Subside over the Next Day or So.

Expires9/12/08 9:00 AM
Message ID78924
County/AreaLafayette, LA (latitude: 30.2159, longitude: -92.0904)

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